Birmingham vs Southampton prediction
England Championship · Tuesday 1 September 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Southampton to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Birmingham 31% at home, a draw 26% and Southampton 43%, so its call is 2: Southampton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 36% / 26% / 38%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.3 for Birmingham and 1.6 for Southampton; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 55%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Birmingham
Attack 14th of 24, defence 5th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Wrexham 2026-08-28
- D 2-2 v Bristol City 2026-08-22
- D 0-0 at Sheffield United 2026-08-15
- D 1-1 at Portsmouth 2026-05-02
- W 2-1 v Bristol City 2026-04-25
Southampton
Attack 1st of 24, defence 10th of 24 in the league.
- W 5-1 v Millwall 2026-08-29
- W 3-1 v Stoke 2026-08-22
- L 1-2 at Watford 2026-08-16
- W 3-1 at Preston 2026-05-02
- D 2-2 v Ipswich 2026-04-28
From 1140 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Tue 1 Sep
- Lincoln vs Blackburn · FT 0–0
- Portsmouth vs Derby · FT 0–2
- Preston vs Bristol City · FT 1–3
- Sheffield United vs Bolton · FT 3–2
- Swansea vs Watford · FT 2–0
- West Ham vs Wolves · FT 4–2
- Stoke vs Norwich · FT 1–0