Brit Predictor

Sheffield United vs Bolton prediction

England Championship · Tuesday 1 September 2026, 20:45 WAT

Full timeSheffield United 3–2 BoltonResult 1

Who wins?

Sheffield UnitedDrawBolton
Model 1 ✓
53%28%19%
Market 1 ✓
58%23%19%

Brit Predictor's model rates Sheffield United to win as the most likely result (53%). It gives Sheffield United 53% at home, a draw 28% and Bolton 19%, so its call is 1: Sheffield United to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 23% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Sheffield United and 0.8 for Bolton; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 60%. Careful: there is little recent data on Bolton, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.5 – 0.8
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 60%
Both teams score43%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Sheffield United

Attack 7th of 24, defence 6th of 24 in the league.

DDDWL
  • D 2-2 at Cardiff 2026-08-29
  • D 0-0 at Swansea 2026-08-22
  • D 0-0 v Birmingham 2026-08-15
  • W 2-1 at Derby 2026-05-02
  • L 2-3 v Preston 2026-04-25

Bolton

Attack 24th of 24, defence 11th of 24 in the league.

LDW
  • L 0-1 v Lincoln 2026-08-29
  • D 0-0 at QPR 2026-08-22
  • W 2-1 v Preston 2026-08-15

From 1140 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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