Brit Predictor

Virtus Entella vs Cesena prediction

Italy Serie B · Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:00 WAT

Full timeVirtus Entella 1–2 CesenaResult 2

Who wins?

Virtus EntellaDrawCesena
Model 1X ✗
38%32%30%
Market 1 ✗
51%27%21%

Brit Predictor's model rates Virtus Entella to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Virtus Entella 38% at home, a draw 32% and Cesena 30%, so its call is 1X: Virtus Entella to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 51% / 27% / 21%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Virtus Entella and 1.0 for Cesena; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 63%.

Expected goals1.2 – 1.0
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 63%
Both teams score45%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Virtus Entella

Attack 20th of 20, defence 7th of 20 in the league.

LWLWD
  • L 0-1 at Sudtirol 2026-08-22
  • W 2-1 v Carrarese 2026-05-08
  • L 0-2 at Bari 2026-05-01
  • W 1-0 v Padova 2026-04-25
  • D 1-1 at Empoli 2026-04-19

Cesena

Attack 9th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.

DLDDL
  • D 1-1 v Sampdoria 2026-08-23
  • L 3-4 v Padova 2026-05-08
  • D 0-0 at Carrarese 2026-05-01
  • D 0-0 v Sampdoria 2026-04-25
  • L 0-2 at Palermo 2026-04-18

From 771 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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