Padova vs Verona prediction
Italy Serie B · Saturday 29 August 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Padova to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Padova 48% at home, a draw 30% and Verona 22%, so its call is 1: Padova to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 29% / 38%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Padova and 0.9 for Verona; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 61%. Careful: there is little recent data on Verona, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Padova
Attack 17th of 20, defence 5th of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Pisa 2026-08-23
- W 4-3 at Cesena 2026-05-08
- W 1-0 v Pescara 2026-05-01
- L 0-1 at Virtus Entella 2026-04-25
- W 1-0 v Reggiana 2026-04-19
Verona
Attack 14th of 20, defence 18th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Ascoli 2026-08-23
From 771 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sat 29 Aug
- Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia · FT 1–2
- Virtus Entella vs Cesena · FT 1–2
- Ascoli vs Carrarese · FT 1–1
- Avellino vs Vicenza · FT 3–0