Brit Predictor

Avellino vs Vicenza prediction

Italy Serie B · Saturday 29 August 2026, 21:00 WAT

Full timeAvellino 3–0 VicenzaResult 1

Who wins?

AvellinoDrawVicenza
Model 1 ✓
46%28%26%
Market 1 ✓
41%30%29%

Brit Predictor's model rates Avellino to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Avellino 46% at home, a draw 28% and Vicenza 26%, so its call is 1: Avellino to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 30% / 29%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Avellino and 1.1 for Vicenza; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 51%. Careful: there is little recent data on Vicenza, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 51%
Both teams score54%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Avellino

Attack 12th of 20, defence 15th of 20 in the league.

LWLWW
  • L 1-2 v Arezzo 2026-08-22
  • W 1-0 v Modena 2026-05-08
  • L 0-1 at Empoli 2026-05-01
  • W 2-0 v Bari 2026-04-24
  • W 2-0 at Mantova 2026-04-18

Vicenza

Attack 10th of 20, defence 19th of 20 in the league.

W
  • W 3-2 v Catanzaro 2026-08-21

From 771 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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