Sabadell vs Almeria prediction
Spain Segunda · Saturday 29 August 2026, 17:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sabadell to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Sabadell 37% at home, a draw 27% and Almeria 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 36% / 30% / 34%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sabadell and 1.2 for Almeria; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 55%. Careful: there is little recent data on Sabadell, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sabadell
Attack 20th of 22, defence 4th of 22 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Castellon 2026-08-23
- D 0-0 at Sp Gijon 2026-08-17
Almeria
Attack 1st of 22, defence 19th of 22 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Tenerife 2026-08-23
- W 3-0 v Eldense 2026-08-17
- W 1-0 v Valladolid 2026-05-31
- L 1-3 at Sp Gijon 2026-05-24
- L 1-2 v Las Palmas 2026-05-16
From 947 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sat 29 Aug
- Albacete vs Oviedo · FT 0–1
- Leganes vs Eldense · FT 1–0
- Girona vs Las Palmas · FT 5–2