Leganes vs Eldense prediction
Spain Segunda · Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Leganes to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Leganes 47% at home, a draw 28% and Eldense 25%, so its call is 1: Leganes to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 51% / 27% / 22%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.3 for Leganes and 0.9 for Eldense; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 63%. Careful: there is little recent data on Eldense, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Leganes
Attack 21st of 22, defence 7th of 22 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Oviedo 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 at Girona 2026-08-16
- W 1-0 v Mirandes 2026-05-31
- L 0-3 at Cadiz 2026-05-24
- D 0-0 v Huesca 2026-05-18
Eldense
Attack 16th of 22, defence 20th of 22 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Cadiz 2026-08-22
- L 0-3 at Almeria 2026-08-17
- L 2-3 at Huesca 2025-06-01
- D 3-3 v Santander 2025-05-25
- D 1-1 at Castellon 2025-05-18
From 947 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sat 29 Aug
- Sabadell vs Almeria · FT 1–0
- Albacete vs Oviedo · FT 0–1
- Girona vs Las Palmas · FT 5–2