Brit Predictor

Albacete vs Oviedo prediction

Spain Segunda · Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:00 WAT

Full timeAlbacete 0–1 OviedoResult 2

Who wins?

AlbaceteDrawOviedo
Model 12 ✓
37%28%35%
Market 12 ✓
39%30%30%

Brit Predictor's model rates Albacete to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Albacete 37% at home, a draw 28% and Oviedo 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 30% / 30%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.2 for Albacete and 1.1 for Oviedo; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 59%. Careful: there is little recent data on Oviedo, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.2 – 1.1
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 59%
Both teams score47%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Albacete

Attack 10th of 22, defence 14th of 22 in the league.

LLLWW
  • L 1-2 v Sociedad B 2026-08-22
  • L 1-2 at Las Palmas 2026-08-16
  • L 0-1 at Ceuta 2026-05-30
  • W 3-1 v Sociedad B 2026-05-24
  • W 2-1 at Cordoba 2026-05-15

Oviedo

Attack 12th of 22, defence 5th of 22 in the league.

LDWWW
  • L 0-1 v Leganes 2026-08-22
  • D 0-0 v Granada 2026-08-15
  • W 2-1 v Cadiz 2025-06-01
  • W 1-0 at Tenerife 2025-05-25
  • W 1-0 v Zaragoza 2025-05-18

From 947 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.

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