Lyon vs Le Havre prediction
France Ligue 1 · Saturday 29 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Lyon to win as the most likely result (65%). It gives Lyon 65% at home, a draw 22% and Le Havre 13%, so its call is 1: Lyon to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 69% / 19% / 12%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Lyon and 0.8 for Le Havre; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 52%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Lyon
Attack 6th of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-0 at Toulouse 2026-08-22
- L 0-4 v Lens 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 at Toulouse 2026-05-10
- W 4-2 v Rennes 2026-05-03
- W 3-2 v Auxerre 2026-04-25
Le Havre
Attack 17th of 18, defence 16th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Monaco 2026-08-23
- W 2-0 at Lorient 2026-05-17
- L 0-1 v Marseille 2026-05-10
- D 1-1 at Lille 2026-05-03
- D 4-4 v Metz 2026-04-26
From 622 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sat 29 Aug
- Strasbourg vs Lens · FT 2–1
- Auxerre vs Angers · FT 1–3
- Brest vs Toulouse · FT 2–2
- Lorient vs Troyes · FT 1–2