Brit Predictor

Auxerre vs Angers prediction

France Ligue 1 · Saturday 29 August 2026, 20:45 WAT

Full timeAuxerre 1–3 AngersResult 2

Who wins?

AuxerreDrawAngers
Model 1 ✗
50%30%20%
Market 1 ✗
44%28%27%

Brit Predictor's model rates Auxerre to win as the most likely result (50%). It gives Auxerre 50% at home, a draw 30% and Angers 20%, so its call is 1: Auxerre to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 28% / 27%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Auxerre and 0.8 for Angers; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 65%.

Expected goals1.4 – 0.8
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 65%
Both teams score40%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Auxerre

Attack 16th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.

LWWWL
  • L 2-5 at Lens 2026-08-22
  • W 2-0 at Lille 2026-05-17
  • W 2-1 v Nice 2026-05-10
  • W 3-1 v Angers 2026-05-03
  • L 2-3 at Lyon 2026-04-25

Angers

Attack 18th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.

LDDLL
  • L 0-2 v Lille 2026-08-23
  • D 1-1 at Brest 2026-05-17
  • D 1-1 v Strasbourg 2026-05-10
  • L 1-3 at Auxerre 2026-05-03
  • L 0-3 v Paris SG 2026-04-25

From 622 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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