Brest vs Toulouse prediction
France Ligue 1 · Saturday 29 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Brest to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Brest 38% at home, a draw 27% and Toulouse 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 28% / 33%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.4 for Brest and 1.4 for Toulouse; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 53%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Brest
Attack 12th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Le Mans 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 v Angers 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 v Strasbourg 2026-05-13
- L 0-1 at Paris SG 2026-05-10
- L 0-4 at Paris FC 2026-05-03
Toulouse
Attack 14th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Lyon 2026-08-22
- D 0-0 at Nantes 2026-05-17
- W 2-1 v Lyon 2026-05-10
- W 2-1 at Strasbourg 2026-05-03
- D 2-2 v Monaco 2026-04-25
From 622 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sat 29 Aug
- Strasbourg vs Lens · FT 2–1
- Auxerre vs Angers · FT 1–3
- Lorient vs Troyes · FT 1–2
- Lyon vs Le Havre · FT 1–1