Brit Predictor

Torino vs Milan prediction

Italy Serie A · Sunday 23 August 2026, 20:45 WAT

Full timeTorino 1–2 MilanResult 2

Who wins?

TorinoDrawMilan
Model 2 ✓
22%25%53%
Market 2 ✓
21%28%51%

Brit Predictor's model rates Milan to win as the most likely result (53%). It gives Torino 22% at home, a draw 25% and Milan 53%, so its call is 2: Milan to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 21% / 28% / 51%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.0 for Torino and 1.6 for Milan; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 51%.

Expected goals1.0 – 1.6
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 51%
Both teams score51%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Torino

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

DLWLD
  • D 2-2 v Juventus 2026-05-24
  • L 1-2 at Cagliari 2026-05-17
  • W 2-1 v Sassuolo 2026-05-08
  • L 0-2 at Udinese 2026-05-02
  • D 2-2 v Inter 2026-04-26

Milan

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

LWLLD
  • L 1-2 v Cagliari 2026-05-24
  • W 2-1 at Genoa 2026-05-17
  • L 2-3 v Atalanta 2026-05-10
  • L 0-2 at Sassuolo 2026-05-03
  • D 0-0 v Juventus 2026-04-26

From 764 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Sun 23 Aug

More Italy Serie A games on Sun 23 Aug