Atalanta vs Sassuolo prediction
Italy Serie A · Sunday 23 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Atalanta to win as the most likely result (57%). It gives Atalanta 57% at home, a draw 24% and Sassuolo 19%, so its call is 1: Atalanta to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 64% / 21% / 15%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Atalanta and 0.9 for Sassuolo; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 51%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Atalanta
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- D 1-1 at Fiorentina 2026-05-22
- L 0-1 v Bologna 2026-05-17
- W 3-2 at Milan 2026-05-10
- D 0-0 v Genoa 2026-05-02
- L 2-3 at Cagliari 2026-04-27
Sassuolo
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 0-1 at Parma 2026-05-24
- L 2-3 v Lecce 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 at Torino 2026-05-08
- W 2-0 v Milan 2026-05-03
- D 0-0 at Fiorentina 2026-04-26
From 764 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sun 23 Aug
- Venezia vs Lecce · FT 0–2
- Frosinone vs Juventus · FT 0–1
- Torino vs Milan · FT 1–2