Frosinone vs Juventus prediction
Italy Serie A · Sunday 23 August 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Juventus to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Frosinone 19% at home, a draw 26% and Juventus 55%, so its call is 2: Juventus to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 13% / 19% / 68%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.8 for Frosinone and 1.6 for Juventus; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 58%. Careful: there is little recent data on Frosinone, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Frosinone
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
No recent league games.
Juventus
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- D 2-2 at Torino 2026-05-24
- L 0-2 v Fiorentina 2026-05-17
- W 1-0 at Lecce 2026-05-09
- D 1-1 v Verona 2026-05-03
- D 0-0 at Milan 2026-04-26
From 764 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sun 23 Aug
- Venezia vs Lecce · FT 0–2
- Atalanta vs Sassuolo · FT 2–1
- Torino vs Milan · FT 1–2