Tenerife vs Almeria prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 23 August 2026, 21:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Almeria to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Tenerife 34% at home, a draw 25% and Almeria 42%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 35% / 30% / 36%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.4 for Tenerife and 1.6 for Almeria; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 56%. Careful: there is little recent data on Tenerife, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Tenerife
Attack 18th of 22, defence 10th of 22 in the league.
- W 3-1 at Eibar 2026-08-16
- L 0-2 at Almeria 2025-06-01
- L 0-1 v Oviedo 2025-05-25
- L 0-1 at Cartagena 2025-05-17
- D 0-0 v Ferrol 2025-05-11
Almeria
Attack 1st of 22, defence 19th of 22 in the league.
- W 3-0 v Eldense 2026-08-17
- W 1-0 v Valladolid 2026-05-31
- L 1-3 at Sp Gijon 2026-05-24
- L 1-2 v Las Palmas 2026-05-16
- D 0-0 at Burgos 2026-05-09
From 940 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 23 Aug
- Eibar vs Valladolid · FT 1–0
- Castellon vs Sabadell · FT 0–0
- Sp Gijon vs Burgos · FT 1–0