Eibar vs Valladolid prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Eibar to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives Eibar 54% at home, a draw 28% and Valladolid 18%, so its call is 1: Eibar to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 47% / 31% / 22%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Eibar and 0.7 for Valladolid; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 66%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Eibar
Attack 14th of 22, defence 3rd of 22 in the league.
- L 1-3 v Tenerife 2026-08-16
- L 1-2 at Castellon 2026-05-31
- W 2-0 v Cordoba 2026-05-24
- L 1-2 at Cultural Leonesa 2026-05-16
- W 1-0 at Mirandes 2026-05-10
Valladolid
Attack 22nd of 22, defence 16th of 22 in the league.
- L 0-2 at Mallorca 2026-08-15
- L 0-1 at Almeria 2026-05-31
- L 0-2 v La Coruna 2026-05-24
- L 1-4 at Santander 2026-05-16
- W 2-0 v Zaragoza 2026-05-09
From 940 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 23 Aug
- Castellon vs Sabadell · FT 0–0
- Sp Gijon vs Burgos · FT 1–0
- Tenerife vs Almeria · FT 1–0