Sp Gijon vs Burgos prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sp Gijon to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Sp Gijon 38% at home, a draw 31% and Burgos 31%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 29% / 23%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Sp Gijon and 0.9 for Burgos; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 67%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sp Gijon
Attack 7th of 22, defence 11th of 22 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Sabadell 2026-08-17
- W 2-1 at Granada 2026-05-30
- W 3-1 v Almeria 2026-05-24
- W 3-1 at Zaragoza 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 at Malaga 2026-05-09
Burgos
Attack 19th of 22, defence 1st of 22 in the league.
- W 3-2 v Cordoba 2026-08-16
- W 1-0 v Andorra 2026-05-31
- W 2-0 at Cultural Leonesa 2026-05-24
- W 1-0 at Granada 2026-05-16
- D 0-0 v Almeria 2026-05-09
From 940 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 23 Aug
- Eibar vs Valladolid · FT 1–0
- Castellon vs Sabadell · FT 0–0
- Tenerife vs Almeria · FT 1–0