Nott'm Forest vs Leeds prediction
England Premier League · Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Nott'm Forest to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Nott'm Forest 45% at home, a draw 28% and Leeds 26%, so its call is 1: Nott'm Forest to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 29% / 32%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.5 for Nott'm Forest and 1.1 for Leeds; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 51%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Nott'm Forest
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- D 1-1 v Bournemouth 2026-05-24
- L 2-3 at Man United 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 v Newcastle 2026-05-10
- W 3-1 at Chelsea 2026-05-04
- W 5-0 at Sunderland 2026-04-24
Leeds
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 0-3 at West Ham 2026-05-24
- W 1-0 v Brighton 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 at Tottenham 2026-05-11
- W 3-1 v Burnley 2026-05-01
- D 2-2 at Bournemouth 2026-04-22
From 761 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sat 22 Aug
- Hull vs Man United · FT 2–0
- Everton vs Crystal Palace · FT 2–0
- Ipswich vs Sunderland · FT 2–1
- Brentford vs Tottenham · FT 3–0