Brit Predictor

Everton vs Crystal Palace prediction

England Premier League · Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeEverton 2–0 Crystal PalaceResult 1

Who wins?

EvertonDrawCrystal Palace
Model 1 ✓
42%31%27%
Market 1 ✓
41%28%31%

Brit Predictor's model rates Everton to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Everton 42% at home, a draw 31% and Crystal Palace 27%, so its call is 1: Everton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 28% / 31%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.3 for Everton and 1.0 for Crystal Palace; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 61%.

Expected goals1.3 – 1.0
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 61%
Both teams score46%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Everton

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

LLDDL
  • L 0-1 at Tottenham 2026-05-24
  • L 1-3 v Sunderland 2026-05-17
  • D 2-2 at Crystal Palace 2026-05-10
  • D 3-3 v Man City 2026-05-04
  • L 1-2 at West Ham 2026-04-25

Crystal Palace

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

LDLDL
  • L 1-2 v Arsenal 2026-05-24
  • D 2-2 at Brentford 2026-05-17
  • L 0-3 at Man City 2026-05-13
  • D 2-2 v Everton 2026-05-10
  • L 0-3 at Bournemouth 2026-05-03

From 761 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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