Hull vs Man United prediction

Who wins?

Brit Predictor's model rates Hull to win as the most likely result (62%). It gives Hull 62% at home, a draw 24% and Man United 14%, so its call is 1: Hull to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 10% / 17% / 73%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.9 for Hull and 0.8 for Man United; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 50%. Careful: there is little recent data on Hull, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

From 761 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.