Ipswich vs Sunderland prediction
England Premier League · Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sunderland to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives Ipswich 19% at home, a draw 27% and Sunderland 54%, so its call is 2: Sunderland to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 29% / 38%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.9 for Ipswich and 1.6 for Sunderland; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 53%. Careful: there is little recent data on Ipswich, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Ipswich
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 1-3 v West Ham 2025-05-25
- L 0-2 at Leicester 2025-05-18
- L 0-1 v Brentford 2025-05-10
- D 2-2 at Everton 2025-05-03
- L 0-3 at Newcastle 2025-04-26
Sunderland
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 2-1 v Chelsea 2026-05-24
- W 3-1 at Everton 2026-05-17
- D 0-0 v Man United 2026-05-09
- D 1-1 at Wolves 2026-05-02
- L 0-5 v Nott'm Forest 2026-04-24
From 761 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sat 22 Aug
- Hull vs Man United · FT 2–0
- Everton vs Crystal Palace · FT 2–0
- Nott'm Forest vs Leeds · FT 0–1
- Brentford vs Tottenham · FT 3–0