Nice vs Lorient prediction
France Ligue 1 · Saturday 22 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Nice to win as the most likely result (39%). It gives Nice 39% at home, a draw 26% and Lorient 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 29% / 30%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Nice and 1.4 for Lorient; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 56%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Nice
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- D 0-0 v Metz 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 at Auxerre 2026-05-10
- D 1-1 v Lens 2026-05-02
- D 1-1 at Marseille 2026-04-26
- D 0-0 at Lille 2026-04-18
Lorient
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 0-2 v Le Havre 2026-05-17
- W 4-0 at Metz 2026-05-10
- D 2-2 at Paris SG 2026-05-02
- L 2-3 v Strasbourg 2026-04-26
- W 2-0 v Marseille 2026-04-18
From 613 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sat 22 Aug
- Lens vs Auxerre · FT 5–2
- Le Mans vs Brest · FT 2–2
- Toulouse vs Lyon · FT 0–2
- Troyes vs Paris FC · FT 0–0