Lens vs Auxerre prediction
France Ligue 1 · Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:15 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Lens to win as the most likely result (59%). It gives Lens 59% at home, a draw 25% and Auxerre 17%, so its call is 1: Lens to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 68% / 20% / 13%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Lens and 0.8 for Auxerre; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 53%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Lens
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 4-0 at Lyon 2026-05-17
- L 0-2 v Paris SG 2026-05-13
- W 1-0 v Nantes 2026-05-08
- D 1-1 at Nice 2026-05-02
- D 3-3 at Brest 2026-04-24
Auxerre
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 2-0 at Lille 2026-05-17
- W 2-1 v Nice 2026-05-10
- W 3-1 v Angers 2026-05-03
- L 2-3 at Lyon 2026-04-25
- D 2-2 at Monaco 2026-04-19
From 613 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sat 22 Aug
- Le Mans vs Brest · FT 2–2
- Nice vs Lorient · FT 0–0
- Toulouse vs Lyon · FT 0–2
- Troyes vs Paris FC · FT 0–0