Empoli vs Cremonese prediction
Italy Serie B · Saturday 22 August 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Cremonese to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Empoli 31% at home, a draw 28% and Cremonese 41%, so its call is 2: Cremonese to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 29% / 30% / 41%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.3 for Empoli and 1.5 for Cremonese; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 54%. Careful: there is little recent data on Cremonese, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Empoli
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- D 2-2 at Monza 2026-05-08
- W 1-0 v Avellino 2026-05-01
- L 0-2 at Venezia 2026-04-25
- D 1-1 v Virtus Entella 2026-04-19
- L 0-1 at Padova 2026-04-12
Cremonese
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 1-2 at Pisa 2025-05-13
- W 3-2 at Spezia 2025-05-09
- D 1-1 v Sassuolo 2025-05-04
- D 0-0 at Sampdoria 2025-05-01
- W 4-2 v Mantova 2025-04-25
From 761 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sat 22 Aug
- Carrarese vs Mantova · FT 1–2
- Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella · FT 1–0
- Avellino vs Arezzo · FT 1–2
- Benevento vs Modena · FT 1–2