Benevento vs Modena prediction
Italy Serie B · Saturday 22 August 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Benevento to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Benevento 46% at home, a draw 28% and Modena 26%, so its call is 1: Benevento to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 29% / 32%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.6 for Benevento and 1.2 for Modena; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 52%. Careful: there is little recent data on Benevento, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Benevento
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
No recent league games.
Modena
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 0-1 at Avellino 2026-05-08
- W 2-1 v Reggiana 2026-05-01
- L 0-1 at Monza 2026-04-24
- L 1-2 v Frosinone 2026-04-18
- D 2-2 at Catanzaro 2026-04-14
From 761 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sat 22 Aug
- Carrarese vs Mantova · FT 1–2
- Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella · FT 1–0
- Avellino vs Arezzo · FT 1–2
- Empoli vs Cremonese · FT 1–0