Carrarese vs Mantova prediction
Italy Serie B · Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Carrarese to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Carrarese 46% at home, a draw 28% and Mantova 26%, so its call is 1: Carrarese to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 31% / 30% / 39%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.6 for Carrarese and 1.1 for Mantova; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 51%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Carrarese
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 1-2 at Virtus Entella 2026-05-08
- D 0-0 v Cesena 2026-05-01
- L 0-3 at Frosinone 2026-04-25
- D 2-2 v Pescara 2026-04-19
- L 0-2 at Reggiana 2026-04-12
Mantova
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 0-5 at Frosinone 2026-05-08
- W 3-2 v Monza 2026-05-01
- W 3-0 at Sudtirol 2026-04-25
- L 0-2 v Avellino 2026-04-18
- W 2-0 at Spezia 2026-04-12
From 761 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sat 22 Aug
- Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella · FT 1–0
- Avellino vs Arezzo · FT 1–2
- Benevento vs Modena · FT 1–2
- Empoli vs Cremonese · FT 1–0