Sochaux vs Guingamp prediction
France Ligue 2 · Friday 21 August 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sochaux to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Sochaux 37% at home, a draw 28% and Guingamp 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 35% / 29% / 37%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sochaux and 1.1 for Guingamp; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 60%. Careful: there is little recent data on Sochaux, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sochaux
Attack 16th of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Red Star 2026-08-14
- L 0-3 v St Etienne 2026-08-08
Guingamp
Attack 7th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Boulogne 2026-08-14
- L 1-2 at Metz 2026-08-08
- L 0-1 at Clermont 2026-05-09
- L 0-1 v Bastia 2026-05-02
- L 2-3 at Red Star 2026-04-24
From 629 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Fri 21 Aug
- Boulogne vs Red Star · FT 1–1
- Clermont vs Dijon · FT 1–1
- Dunkerque vs Montpellier · FT 0–1
- Pau FC vs Nancy · FT 0–1