Clermont vs Dijon prediction

Who wins?

Brit Predictor's model rates Dijon to win as the most likely result (35%). It gives Clermont 34% at home, a draw 31% and Dijon 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 30% / 37%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.0 for Clermont and 1.0 for Dijon; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 68%. Careful: there is little recent data on Dijon, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

From 629 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.