Boulogne vs Red Star prediction
France Ligue 2 · Friday 21 August 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Red Star to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Boulogne 28% at home, a draw 29% and Red Star 42%, so its call is 2: Red Star to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 25% / 29% / 47%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.9 for Boulogne and 1.2 for Red Star; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 64%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Boulogne
Attack 18th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Guingamp 2026-08-14
- D 0-0 v Nancy 2026-08-08
- L 1-2 at Laval 2026-05-09
- L 1-2 v Annecy 2026-05-02
- L 2-6 v Dunkerque 2026-04-27
Red Star
Attack 10th of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Sochaux 2026-08-14
- W 1-0 at Nantes 2026-08-08
- D 1-1 v Montpellier 2026-05-09
- W 3-1 at Amiens 2026-05-02
- W 3-2 v Guingamp 2026-04-24
From 629 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Fri 21 Aug
- Clermont vs Dijon · FT 1–1
- Dunkerque vs Montpellier · FT 0–1
- Pau FC vs Nancy · FT 0–1
- Sochaux vs Guingamp · FT 1–0