Dunkerque vs Montpellier prediction
France Ligue 2 · Friday 21 August 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Dunkerque to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Dunkerque 37% at home, a draw 28% and Montpellier 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 26% / 32%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.2 for Dunkerque and 1.2 for Montpellier; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 57%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Dunkerque
Attack 3rd of 18, defence 16th of 18 in the league.
- D 3-3 at Reims 2026-08-14
- W 4-2 v Grenoble 2026-08-08
- L 2-3 at Nancy 2026-05-09
- L 0-1 v Grenoble 2026-05-02
- W 6-2 at Boulogne 2026-04-27
Montpellier
Attack 11th of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Nancy 2026-08-14
- D 1-1 v Dijon 2026-08-08
- D 1-1 at Red Star 2026-05-09
- L 1-2 v Clermont 2026-05-02
- W 2-0 at Amiens 2026-04-24
From 629 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Fri 21 Aug
- Boulogne vs Red Star · FT 1–1
- Clermont vs Dijon · FT 1–1
- Pau FC vs Nancy · FT 0–1
- Sochaux vs Guingamp · FT 1–0
