Stoke vs Swansea prediction
England Championship · Saturday 15 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Stoke to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Stoke 36% at home, a draw 30% and Swansea 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 28% / 31%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.1 for Stoke and 1.1 for Swansea; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 61%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Stoke
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 0-2 at Bristol City 2026-05-02
- L 1-3 v Portsmouth 2026-04-25
- L 1-3 v Millwall 2026-04-21
- L 0-2 at Wrexham 2026-04-18
- D 1-1 v Blackburn 2026-04-11
Swansea
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 3-1 v Charlton 2026-05-02
- D 1-1 at Norwich 2026-04-25
- W 2-1 at QPR 2026-04-21
- L 1-2 v Southampton 2026-04-18
- W 1-0 at Leicester 2026-04-11
From 1105 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 15 Aug
- Bolton vs Preston · FT 2–1
- Portsmouth vs QPR · FT 1–3
- Norwich vs West Brom · FT 1–2
- Charlton vs Derby · FT 2–1
- Bristol City vs Millwall · FT 0–2
- Middlesbrough vs Lincoln · FT 2–1
- Sheffield United vs Birmingham · FT 0–0