Brit Predictor

Bolton vs Preston prediction

England Championship · Saturday 15 August 2026, 13:30 WAT

Full timeBolton 2–1 PrestonResult 1

Who wins?

BoltonDrawPreston
Model 1X ✓
41%31%28%
Market 12 ✓
41%28%31%

Brit Predictor's model rates Bolton to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Bolton 41% at home, a draw 31% and Preston 28%, so its call is 1X: Bolton to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 28% / 31%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.2 for Bolton and 0.9 for Preston; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 65%. Careful: there is little recent data on Bolton, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.2 – 0.9
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 65%
Both teams score43%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Bolton

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

No recent league games.

Preston

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

LWLLW
  • L 1-3 v Southampton 2026-05-02
  • W 3-2 at Sheffield United 2026-04-25
  • L 1-2 at Birmingham 2026-04-22
  • L 0-2 v West Brom 2026-04-18
  • W 2-1 at Charlton 2026-04-11

From 1105 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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