Middlesbrough vs Lincoln prediction

Who wins?

Brit Predictor's model rates Middlesbrough to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives Middlesbrough 54% at home, a draw 28% and Lincoln 19%, so its call is 1: Middlesbrough to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 65% / 21% / 14%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Middlesbrough and 0.8 for Lincoln; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 60%. Careful: there is little recent data on Lincoln, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

From 1105 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.