Red Star vs Sochaux prediction
France Ligue 2 · Friday 14 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Red Star to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Red Star 46% at home, a draw 27% and Sochaux 27%, so its call is 1: Red Star to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 49% / 27% / 23%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Red Star and 1.0 for Sochaux; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 58%. Careful: there is little recent data on Sochaux, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Red Star
Attack 11th of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Nantes 2026-08-08
- D 1-1 v Montpellier 2026-05-09
- W 3-1 at Amiens 2026-05-02
- W 3-2 v Guingamp 2026-04-24
- L 2-3 at Reims 2026-04-18
Sochaux
Attack 13th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-3 v St Etienne 2026-08-08
From 620 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Fri 14 Aug
- St Etienne vs Clermont · FT 3–1
- Reims vs Dunkerque · FT 3–3
- Nancy vs Montpellier · FT 0–1
- Annecy vs Rodez · FT 2–0
- Guingamp vs Boulogne · FT 1–0
- Grenoble vs Metz · FT 0–0
- Dijon vs Pau FC · FT 0–1
- Laval vs Nantes · FT 2–1