Brit Predictor

Guingamp vs Boulogne prediction

France Ligue 2 · Friday 14 August 2026, 20:45 WAT

Full timeGuingamp 1–0 BoulogneResult 1

Who wins?

GuingampDrawBoulogne
Model 1 ✓
52%25%23%
Market 1 ✓
53%27%20%

Brit Predictor's model rates Guingamp to win as the most likely result (52%). It gives Guingamp 52% at home, a draw 25% and Boulogne 23%, so its call is 1: Guingamp to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 53% / 27% / 20%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Guingamp and 1.0 for Boulogne; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%.

Expected goals1.6 – 1.0
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 54%
Both teams score49%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Guingamp

Attack 8th of 18, defence 16th of 18 in the league.

LLLLL
  • L 1-2 at Metz 2026-08-08
  • L 0-1 at Clermont 2026-05-09
  • L 0-1 v Bastia 2026-05-02
  • L 2-3 at Red Star 2026-04-24
  • L 1-2 at Pau FC 2026-04-17

Boulogne

Attack 18th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.

DLLLL
  • D 0-0 v Nancy 2026-08-08
  • L 1-2 at Laval 2026-05-09
  • L 1-2 v Annecy 2026-05-02
  • L 2-6 v Dunkerque 2026-04-27
  • L 0-1 at Troyes 2026-04-18

From 620 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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