Dijon vs Pau FC prediction
France Ligue 2 · Friday 14 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Dijon to win as the most likely result (59%). It gives Dijon 59% at home, a draw 22% and Pau FC 20%, so its call is 1: Dijon to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 27% / 25%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.9 for Dijon and 1.0 for Pau FC; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 57%. Careful: there is little recent data on Dijon, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Dijon
Attack 10th of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Montpellier 2026-08-08
Pau FC
Attack 9th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Annecy 2026-08-08
- L 3-5 at Reims 2026-05-09
- L 1-3 v Nancy 2026-05-02
- L 1-5 at Annecy 2026-04-24
- W 2-1 v Guingamp 2026-04-17
From 620 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Fri 14 Aug
- St Etienne vs Clermont · FT 3–1
- Red Star vs Sochaux · FT 0–0
- Reims vs Dunkerque · FT 3–3
- Nancy vs Montpellier · FT 0–1
- Annecy vs Rodez · FT 2–0
- Guingamp vs Boulogne · FT 1–0
- Grenoble vs Metz · FT 0–0
- Laval vs Nantes · FT 2–1