Nancy vs Montpellier prediction
France Ligue 2 · Friday 14 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Montpellier to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Nancy 23% at home, a draw 29% and Montpellier 48%, so its call is 2: Montpellier to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 35% / 29% / 36%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.8 for Nancy and 1.3 for Montpellier; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 65%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Nancy
Attack 15th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Boulogne 2026-08-08
- W 3-2 v Dunkerque 2026-05-09
- W 3-1 at Pau FC 2026-05-02
- D 1-1 at Reims 2026-04-25
- L 1-5 v Annecy 2026-04-17
Montpellier
Attack 12th of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Dijon 2026-08-08
- D 1-1 at Red Star 2026-05-09
- L 1-2 v Clermont 2026-05-02
- W 2-0 at Amiens 2026-04-24
- W 2-1 v Grenoble 2026-04-17
From 620 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Fri 14 Aug
- St Etienne vs Clermont · FT 3–1
- Red Star vs Sochaux · FT 0–0
- Reims vs Dunkerque · FT 3–3
- Annecy vs Rodez · FT 2–0
- Guingamp vs Boulogne · FT 1–0
- Grenoble vs Metz · FT 0–0
- Dijon vs Pau FC · FT 0–1
- Laval vs Nantes · FT 2–1