Marseille vs Le Havre prediction
France Ligue 1 · Sunday 25 October 2026, 17:15 WAT
Full timeMarseille 4–3 Le HavreResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
MarseilleDrawLe Havre
Model 1 ✓
69%19%12%
Market 1 ✓
68%18%14%
Brit Predictor's model rates Marseille to win as the most likely result (69%). It gives Marseille 69% at home, a draw 19% and Le Havre 12%, so its call is 1: Marseille to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 68% / 18% / 14%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.3 for Marseille and 0.9 for Le Havre; the single most likely score is 2-0.
Expected goals2.3 – 0.9
Most likely score2-0
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams score52%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Marseille
Attack 2nd of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
WWLLL
- W 5-2 at Angers 2026-10-18
- W 2-0 at Troyes 2026-10-11
- L 1-2 v Paris SG 2026-09-20
- L 0-1 at Rennes 2026-09-11
- L 2-3 v Paris FC 2026-09-06
Le Havre
Attack 16th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
LLLDL
- L 1-3 v Auxerre 2026-10-18
- L 0-1 at Lille 2026-10-10
- L 2-3 at Toulouse 2026-09-19
- D 0-0 v Angers 2026-09-12
- L 1-2 v Brest 2026-09-05
From 677 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sun 25 Oct
- Monaco vs Lille · FT 1–1
- Toulouse vs Troyes · FT 0–0
- Rennes vs Strasbourg · FT 3–0
- Auxerre vs Le Mans · FT 1–1
- Angers vs Lorient · FT 0–0