Auxerre vs Le Mans prediction
France Ligue 1 · Sunday 25 October 2026, 17:15 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Auxerre to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Auxerre 48% at home, a draw 23% and Le Mans 29%, so its call is 1: Auxerre to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 46% / 26% / 28%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.9 for Auxerre and 1.4 for Le Mans; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Le Mans, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Auxerre
Attack 15th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-1 at Le Havre 2026-10-18
- L 1-4 at Rennes 2026-10-11
- W 2-1 v Brest 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 v Nice 2026-09-12
- L 1-3 at Lyon 2026-09-04
Le Mans
Attack 9th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-3 v Toulouse 2026-10-16
- L 1-3 at Paris SG 2026-10-10
- W 2-1 v Lorient 2026-09-19
- D 2-2 v Lens 2026-09-13
- D 1-1 at Nice 2026-09-05
From 677 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sun 25 Oct
- Monaco vs Lille · FT 1–1
- Toulouse vs Troyes · FT 0–0
- Rennes vs Strasbourg · FT 3–0
- Angers vs Lorient · FT 0–0
- Marseille vs Le Havre · FT 4–3