Brit Predictor

West Ham vs Southampton prediction

England Championship · Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeWest Ham 2–3 SouthamptonResult 2

Who wins?

West HamDrawSouthampton
Model 1 ✗
63%18%18%
Market 1 ✗
58%22%20%

Brit Predictor's model rates West Ham to win as the most likely result (63%). It gives West Ham 63% at home, a draw 18% and Southampton 18%, so its call is 1: West Ham to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 22% / 20%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.6 for West Ham and 1.4 for Southampton; the single most likely score is 2-1. Careful: there is little recent data on West Ham, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals2.6 – 1.4
Most likely score2-1
Over 2.5 goals75%
Both teams score69%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

West Ham

Attack 1st of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.

WWDDW
  • W 1-0 at Swansea 2026-10-17
  • W 6-0 at Lincoln 2026-10-14
  • D 1-1 v QPR 2026-10-09
  • D 2-2 at Millwall 2026-09-19
  • W 6-0 v Wrexham 2026-09-11

Southampton

Attack 2nd of 24, defence 5th of 24 in the league.

DWWLW
  • D 0-0 v Bolton 2026-10-17
  • W 1-0 at Norwich 2026-10-14
  • W 1-0 v Portsmouth 2026-10-11
  • L 1-2 at Wrexham 2026-09-19
  • W 4-1 v Bristol City 2026-09-12

From 1237 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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