Brit Predictor

Sheffield United vs Derby prediction

England Championship · Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:30 WAT

Full timeSheffield United 1–1 DerbyResult X

Who wins?

Sheffield UnitedDrawDerby
Model 1 ✗
49%26%25%
Market 1 ✗
54%24%21%

Brit Predictor's model rates Sheffield United to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Sheffield United 49% at home, a draw 26% and Derby 25%, so its call is 1: Sheffield United to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 54% / 24% / 21%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Sheffield United and 1.0 for Derby; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.6 – 1.0
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams score52%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Sheffield United

Attack 8th of 24, defence 10th of 24 in the league.

WLWLL
  • W 1-0 at Bristol City 2026-10-17
  • L 2-3 at Portsmouth 2026-10-14
  • W 3-0 v Lincoln 2026-10-10
  • L 1-2 at Stoke 2026-09-19
  • L 0-1 v Wolves 2026-09-13

Derby

Attack 16th of 24, defence 15th of 24 in the league.

LLDDL
  • L 0-1 v Stoke 2026-10-17
  • L 1-4 at QPR 2026-10-14
  • D 1-1 v Wrexham 2026-10-10
  • D 1-1 at Burnley 2026-09-19
  • L 1-2 v Birmingham 2026-09-12

From 1237 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Sat 24 Oct

More England Championship games on Sat 24 Oct