Lincoln vs Burnley prediction
England Championship · Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Burnley to win as the most likely result (58%). It gives Lincoln 16% at home, a draw 25% and Burnley 58%, so its call is 2: Burnley to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 34% / 27% / 38%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.7 for Lincoln and 1.6 for Burnley; the single most likely score is 0-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Lincoln, Burnley, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Lincoln
Attack 24th of 24, defence 22nd of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Millwall 2026-10-17
- L 0-6 v West Ham 2026-10-14
- L 0-3 at Sheffield United 2026-10-10
- L 1-2 v Swansea 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 at Bristol City 2026-09-15
Burnley
Attack 5th of 24, defence 1st of 24 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Wolves 2026-10-16
- D 2-2 v Charlton 2026-10-13
- W 4-0 at Watford 2026-10-10
- D 1-1 v Derby 2026-09-19
- L 1-3 at Swansea 2026-09-12
From 1237 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 24 Oct
- Charlton vs Norwich · FT 1–3
- Portsmouth vs Millwall · FT 2–1
- Sheffield United vs Derby · FT 1–1
- Wolves vs Watford · FT 1–0
- West Ham vs Southampton · FT 2–3
- Stoke vs Bristol City · FT 0–0
- QPR vs Swansea · FT 5–0
- Cardiff vs Birmingham · FT 1–0
- Blackburn vs Wrexham · FT 2–0
- Preston vs West Brom · FT 1–1