Cardiff vs Birmingham prediction
England Championship · Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Birmingham to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Cardiff 30% at home, a draw 26% and Birmingham 44%, so its call is 2: Birmingham to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 37% / 25% / 39%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.2 for Cardiff and 1.5 for Birmingham; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Cardiff, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Cardiff
Attack 12th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Middlesbrough 2026-10-17
- W 5-1 v Watford 2026-10-13
- L 1-2 at Blackburn 2026-10-10
- W 3-1 v Charlton 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Bolton 2026-09-12
Birmingham
Attack 9th of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.
- W 3-0 v QPR 2026-10-17
- W 4-0 v Preston 2026-10-13
- W 1-0 at West Brom 2026-10-10
- D 2-2 v Middlesbrough 2026-09-19
- W 2-1 at Derby 2026-09-12
From 1237 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 24 Oct
- Charlton vs Norwich · FT 1–3
- Portsmouth vs Millwall · FT 2–1
- Sheffield United vs Derby · FT 1–1
- Wolves vs Watford · FT 1–0
- West Ham vs Southampton · FT 2–3
- Stoke vs Bristol City · FT 0–0
- QPR vs Swansea · FT 5–0
- Lincoln vs Burnley · FT 4–1
- Blackburn vs Wrexham · FT 2–0
- Preston vs West Brom · FT 1–1