RB Leipzig vs Elversberg prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 24 October 2026, 15:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates RB Leipzig to win as the most likely result (52%). It gives RB Leipzig 52% at home, a draw 20% and Elversberg 28%, so its call is 1: RB Leipzig to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 64% / 18% / 18%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.4 for RB Leipzig and 1.8 for Elversberg; the single most likely score is 2-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Elversberg, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
RB Leipzig
Attack 6th of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-6 at Bayern Munich 2026-10-17
- W 6-0 v Ein Frankfurt 2026-10-10
- L 0-2 at Leverkusen 2026-09-20
- W 5-0 v Hamburg 2026-09-13
- L 1-3 at Werder Bremen 2026-09-05
Elversberg
Attack 2nd of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
- W 4-3 v Augsburg 2026-10-17
- L 0-1 at Union Berlin 2026-10-10
- D 0-0 at Schalke 04 2026-09-20
- L 1-2 v Bayern Munich 2026-09-13
- W 4-3 at M'gladbach 2026-09-05
From 667 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 24 Oct
- Augsburg vs Union Berlin · FT 1–1
- FC Koln vs Schalke 04 · FT 0–0
- Mainz vs Werder Bremen · FT 2–3
- Paderborn vs Hamburg · FT 1–0
- Dortmund vs Ein Frankfurt · FT 1–0