Mainz vs Werder Bremen prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 24 October 2026, 15:30 WAT
Full timeMainz 2–3 Werder BremenResult 2
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
MainzDrawWerder Bremen
Model 1 ✗
54%23%23%
Market 1 ✗
55%22%22%
Brit Predictor's model rates Mainz to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives Mainz 54% at home, a draw 23% and Werder Bremen 23%, so its call is 1: Mainz to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 55% / 22% / 22%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.9 for Mainz and 1.1 for Werder Bremen; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams score58%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Mainz
Attack 10th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
WLWLW
- W 1-0 at Schalke 04 2026-10-17
- L 3-4 v Leverkusen 2026-10-10
- W 4-3 at M'gladbach 2026-09-19
- L 1-3 v Ein Frankfurt 2026-09-12
- W 5-0 at Hamburg 2026-09-06
Werder Bremen
Attack 14th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
DDWDW
- D 2-2 v Paderborn 2026-10-17
- D 2-2 at Dortmund 2026-10-09
- W 3-2 v Augsburg 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 at FC Koln 2026-09-12
- W 3-1 v RB Leipzig 2026-09-05
From 667 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 24 Oct
- Augsburg vs Union Berlin · FT 1–1
- FC Koln vs Schalke 04 · FT 0–0
- Paderborn vs Hamburg · FT 1–0
- RB Leipzig vs Elversberg · FT 4–0
- Dortmund vs Ein Frankfurt · FT 1–0