Brit Predictor

Augsburg vs Union Berlin prediction

Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 24 October 2026, 15:30 WAT

Full timeAugsburg 1–1 Union BerlinResult X

Who wins?

AugsburgDrawUnion Berlin
Model 1 ✗
52%24%23%
Market 1 ✗
57%22%21%

Brit Predictor's model rates Augsburg to win as the most likely result (52%). It gives Augsburg 52% at home, a draw 24% and Union Berlin 23%, so its call is 1: Augsburg to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 57% / 22% / 21%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Augsburg and 1.1 for Union Berlin; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.7 – 1.1
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams score55%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Augsburg

Attack 11th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.

LDLDW
  • L 3-4 at Elversberg 2026-10-17
  • D 2-2 v Bayern Munich 2026-10-10
  • L 2-3 at Werder Bremen 2026-09-19
  • D 2-2 v Leverkusen 2026-09-12
  • W 4-1 at Ein Frankfurt 2026-09-06

Union Berlin

Attack 15th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.

DWLLL
  • D 0-0 v Dortmund 2026-10-17
  • W 1-0 v Elversberg 2026-10-10
  • L 0-7 at Bayern Munich 2026-09-18
  • L 1-3 v Schalke 04 2026-09-11
  • L 0-4 at Leverkusen 2026-09-05

From 667 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.

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