Paderborn vs Hamburg prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 24 October 2026, 15:30 WAT
- Model called 1X ✓ (home win or draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Paderborn to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Paderborn 36% at home, a draw 32% and Hamburg 32%, so its call is 1X: Paderborn to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 25% / 30%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.0 for Paderborn and 0.9 for Hamburg; the single most likely score is 0-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Paderborn, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Paderborn
Attack 17th of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Werder Bremen 2026-10-17
- L 0-2 v Stuttgart 2026-10-10
- W 3-1 v Hoffenheim 2026-09-20
- L 0-3 at Dortmund 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 v Freiburg 2026-09-05
Hamburg
Attack 16th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Stuttgart 2026-10-17
- W 3-2 at Hoffenheim 2026-10-10
- W 2-1 v FC Koln 2026-09-19
- L 0-5 at RB Leipzig 2026-09-13
- L 0-5 v Mainz 2026-09-06
From 667 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sat 24 Oct
- Augsburg vs Union Berlin · FT 1–1
- FC Koln vs Schalke 04 · FT 0–0
- Mainz vs Werder Bremen · FT 2–3
- RB Leipzig vs Elversberg · FT 4–0
- Dortmund vs Ein Frankfurt · FT 1–0