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Las Palmas vs Sociedad B prediction

Spain Segunda · Saturday 24 October 2026, 18:30 WAT

Full timeLas Palmas 1–0 Sociedad BResult 1

Who wins?

Las PalmasDrawSociedad B
Model 1 ✓
57%22%21%
Market 1 ✓
44%26%30%

Brit Predictor's model rates Las Palmas to win as the most likely result (57%). It gives Las Palmas 57% at home, a draw 22% and Sociedad B 21%, so its call is 1: Las Palmas to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 26% / 30%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.9 for Las Palmas and 1.1 for Sociedad B; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 57%.

Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
GoalsOver 2.5 · 57%
Both teams score56%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Las Palmas

Attack 8th of 22, defence 9th of 22 in the league.

LLDLL
  • L 0-3 v Castellon 2026-10-17
  • L 1-3 at Mallorca 2026-10-11
  • D 2-2 v Valladolid 2026-10-04
  • L 2-3 at Eibar 2026-09-27
  • L 1-2 v Burgos 2026-09-20

Sociedad B

Attack 12th of 22, defence 21st of 22 in the league.

LLLLL
  • L 2-4 v Almeria 2026-10-17
  • L 1-4 at Celta B 2026-10-10
  • L 2-3 v Granada 2026-10-04
  • L 1-3 at Ceuta 2026-09-26
  • L 0-1 v Mallorca 2026-09-19

From 1035 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.

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