Almeria vs Oviedo prediction
Spain Segunda · Saturday 24 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Almeria to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Almeria 48% at home, a draw 24% and Oviedo 28%, so its call is 1: Almeria to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 55% / 25% / 20%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Almeria and 1.2 for Oviedo; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Oviedo, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Almeria
Attack 1st of 22, defence 13th of 22 in the league.
- W 4-2 at Sociedad B 2026-10-17
- W 3-0 v Leganes 2026-10-11
- W 2-1 v Burgos 2026-10-03
- W 1-0 at Mallorca 2026-09-27
- W 2-0 v Celta B 2026-09-20
Oviedo
Attack 9th of 22, defence 6th of 22 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Ceuta 2026-10-18
- W 3-1 v Eibar 2026-10-12
- L 1-4 at Eldense 2026-10-02
- W 2-0 v Sp Gijon 2026-09-27
- L 1-3 at Sabadell 2026-09-20
From 1035 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sat 24 Oct
- Cordoba vs Eibar · FT 2–0
- Leganes vs Mallorca · FT 1–1
- Girona vs Celta B · FT 5–1
- Las Palmas vs Sociedad B · FT 1–0