Leganes vs Mallorca prediction
Spain Segunda · Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:15 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Mallorca to win as the most likely result (53%). It gives Leganes 13% at home, a draw 34% and Mallorca 53%, so its call is 2: Mallorca to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 21% / 27% / 52%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.4 for Leganes and 1.1 for Mallorca; the single most likely score is 0-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Mallorca, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Leganes
Attack 22nd of 22, defence 10th of 22 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Cordoba 2026-10-16
- L 0-3 at Almeria 2026-10-11
- L 0-4 at Cadiz 2026-10-03
- L 0-2 v Castellon 2026-09-28
- W 3-2 v Granada 2026-09-20
Mallorca
Attack 14th of 22, defence 1st of 22 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Eibar 2026-10-17
- W 3-1 v Las Palmas 2026-10-11
- D 0-0 at Girona 2026-10-04
- L 0-1 v Almeria 2026-09-27
- W 1-0 at Sociedad B 2026-09-19
From 1035 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sat 24 Oct
- Cordoba vs Eibar · FT 2–0
- Girona vs Celta B · FT 5–1
- Las Palmas vs Sociedad B · FT 1–0
- Almeria vs Oviedo · FT 2–2